What is Consecutive Losses?
Consecutive losses count back-to-back losing closed trades on a tag or account.
Formula
P(N consecutive losses) = (1 - win_rate) ^ N Expected longest streak in T trades ≈ log(T) / log(1 / loss_rate)
Indian market context (NSE)
Reference levels: Nifty 50 at 24,300, Reliance Industries at ₹1,300, Bank Nifty futures at 55,000 (lot size 30). Examples below show how Consecutive Losses shows up on Indian index, equity, and futures books — update to live quotes in your journal.
Nifty 50 perspective
Consecutive Losses on Nifty (24,300): define rupee risk per trade before the 9:15 open; index gaps on global cues can skip planned consecutive losses levels — use exchange-supported stop types and size for gap beyond stop.
Reliance Industries perspective
Consecutive Losses for Reliance (₹1,300): stock circuits and 20% band limits can trap positions past your planned exit; keep consecutive losses outside circuit freeze zones where possible.
Bank Nifty futures perspective
Consecutive Losses on Bank Nifty (55,000): span margin changes intraday — a valid consecutive losses at entry may be too large after a margin hike; recheck buying power before adding lots.
How to validate
- Minimum sample: 30 closed trades on one strategy tag before trusting Consecutive Losses.
- Check for one outlier week inflating Consecutive Losses — export largest winners and losers.
- Recompute Consecutive Losses after including brokerage, STT, and slippage on F&O tags.
- Compare Consecutive Losses on the same date range as profit factor and max drawdown.
How to track in TradeLyser
- Open Strategy Board or analytics → filter by strategy tag and review period.
- Locate the widget or column reporting Consecutive Losses (or export trades to compute manually).
- Store snapshot values in weekly review: Consecutive Losses, profit factor, drawdown, trade count.
- If Consecutive Losses is custom, add a spreadsheet column fed from TradeLyser CSV export.
Best practices
- Publish Consecutive Losses per strategy, not only at account level.
- Use the same calculation window (weekly vs monthly) year-round.
- Pair Consecutive Losses with sample size in every review slide or note.
- Reconcile Consecutive Losses with broker statements before tax filing.
Common pitfalls
- Changing rules after fewer than 20 trades because Consecutive Losses moved slightly.
- Mixing intraday and positional tags when computing Consecutive Losses.
- Ignoring costs so Consecutive Losses looks better than banked P&L.
- Letting one outlier trade dominate the Consecutive Losses reading.
How to use this in TradeLyser
Dashboard losing streak; note if rules triggered after N losses.
Related terms
Revenge trading is increasing size, frequency, or randomness immediately after a loss to “get back” at the market — usually breaking the playbook.
Risk of ruin models chance of hitting ruin given win rate, payoff, and risk per trade.
Discipline is repeatable adherence to entries, exits, size, and pause rules — especially after wins and losses.
A win streak is sequential wins; loss streak is sequential losses before a break.
FAQ
Streak on account or per strategy?
Per strategy for signal; account-wide for psychology.
Three losses then quit?
If written in plan, yes — tag compliance.
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