What is Correlation?
Correlation scales from −1 to +1 between return series of two symbols or strategies.
Formula
Correlation Coefficient (r): - r = +1.0: Perfect positive correlation - r = +0.5: Moderate positive correlation - r = 0: No correlation - r = -0.5: Moderate negative correlation - r = -1.0: Perfect negative correlation
Indian market context (NSE)
Reference levels: Nifty 50 at 24,300, Reliance Industries at ₹1,300, Bank Nifty futures at 55,000 (lot size 30). Examples below show how Correlation shows up on Indian index, equity, and futures books — update to live quotes in your journal.
Nifty 50 perspective
Correlation on Nifty (24,300): define rupee risk per trade before the 9:15 open; index gaps on global cues can skip planned correlation levels — use exchange-supported stop types and size for gap beyond stop.
Reliance Industries perspective
Correlation for Reliance (₹1,300): stock circuits and 20% band limits can trap positions past your planned exit; keep correlation outside circuit freeze zones where possible.
Bank Nifty futures perspective
Correlation on Bank Nifty (55,000): span margin changes intraday — a valid correlation at entry may be too large after a margin hike; recheck buying power before adding lots.
How to validate
- Minimum sample: 30 closed trades on one strategy tag before trusting Correlation.
- Check for one outlier week inflating Correlation — export largest winners and losers.
- Recompute Correlation after including brokerage, STT, and slippage on F&O tags.
- Compare Correlation on the same date range as profit factor and max drawdown.
How to track in TradeLyser
- Open Strategy Board or analytics → filter by strategy tag and review period.
- Locate the widget or column reporting Correlation (or export trades to compute manually).
- Store snapshot values in weekly review: Correlation, profit factor, drawdown, trade count.
- If Correlation is custom, add a spreadsheet column fed from TradeLyser CSV export.
Best practices
- Publish Correlation per strategy, not only at account level.
- Use the same calculation window (weekly vs monthly) year-round.
- Pair Correlation with sample size in every review slide or note.
- Reconcile Correlation with broker statements before tax filing.
Common pitfalls
- Changing rules after fewer than 20 trades because Correlation moved slightly.
- Mixing intraday and positional tags when computing Correlation.
- Ignoring costs so Correlation looks better than banked P&L.
- Letting one outlier trade dominate the Correlation reading.
How to use this in TradeLyser
Log correlation assumption on pairs tags; review divergence tail events quarterly.
Related terms
Beta estimates how much your trading book moves relative to a benchmark. Beta near 1 suggests similar swing to the index; below 1 less sensitive; above 1 more sensitive.
Diversification reduces reliance on any single outcome by holding multiple positions, strategies, or instruments with imperfect correlation.
Pairs trading goes long one instrument and short another, betting on convergence of a historically related spread.
Portfolio heat sums risk at stop (or max loss) across open trades, often as % equity.
FAQ
Correlation over what window?
Match to hold period — 20-day vs 60-day differ.
Low correlation forever?
Regimes change — re-check in drawdowns.
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